Image Credit: CIMSS - Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies
Madden - Julian Oscillation
EURO based (ECMF) MJO forecast
Prevailing Cyclone Tracks
Storm Classification, Wind speed and Surge
Storm Type
Wind (Mph)
Surge (ft)
Tropical Depression
<38
0
Tropical Storm
39–73
0-3
Cat 1
74–95
4–5
Cat 2
96–110
6–8
Cat 3
111–129
9–12
Cat 4
130–156
13–18
Cat 5
≥157
>18
Fronts Days 1-3
Fronts Days 3-7
El Niño is likely to emerge soon (82% chance in May-July 2026) and continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27 (96% chance in December 2026-February 2027).(According to the CPC)
